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> Is this really goin to happen?, 2035 Phase Out all new gas cars
ndfrigi
post Sep 23 2020, 02:36 PM
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as long we can keep existing gas cars especially our 914!


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horizontally-opposed
post Sep 23 2020, 04:33 PM
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So I've spoken with some folks at VW, who have mentioned that the only way the EV gamble pays off is volume—whether other manufacturers buying into their skateboard and infrastructure or something like this, where states or countries change what is allowed.

I am surprised but not surprised by the announcement today. I suspect it will have little if any impact on driving a 914 before 2050 or so (Elon, who is his own piece of work, estimates it will take 15 years after 2035 to replace most of the daily CA fleet with EVs).

As a car nut, I have mixed feelings on this. As a dad, I have very different feelings that go past what I want. CA was vilified for the catalyst, but it made massive improvements in CA air quality and, eventually, the world's air quality. They're saying half of our greenhouse emissions are still cars and trucks. We've got 44,000,000 people here. So that's a lot of emissions.

Would I prefer that other emitters are targeted? Sure. Would I prefer that other states and countries would have gone after some of the low-hanging fruit as early as CA did? Yep. Consider Germany, which didn't require catalysts until well into the 1980s? And then you get into heavy trucks, boats, planes, cows, etc etc.

But we are where we are.

I worry about the grid, but it has to be addressed (as we all know). May as well address it intelligently. Not naive enough to think solar is "the" solution, but we're making the switch next week. It's a parity deal, with the average of our electricity cost per month (at today's rates) going to a solar company for ten years on a system that should supply ~107% of our usage for 35~ years (and it's warranted for much of that period). A no-cost deal, with provision for a few more panels for…an EV one day. We're adding a battery, which is cost out of pocket, but a hedge against going dark again—which doesn't work for our business.

It isn't a solution that works for everyone, but it feels like a good move.

As for EVs? I am not particularly a fan—but I am not particularly a fan of the bland sea of new cars available these days anyway. With so few stick shifts, and so few cars rather than SUVs, is an EV so bad? A couple of days of touring Europe in a Taycan showed me otherwise, and I sure liked skipping the gas station in our TDI before it was recalled (sigh). When I got back from driving the Taycan, most workaday V6s, V8s, I4s, etc just sounded like noise pollution to me.

Sorry for the book, but we'll have access to a lot of cool cars for a long time to come. Our cars included. I view this move as potentially giving us a longer lease on fun driving. Will they actually be able to enact this by 2035? That remains to be seen...
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914_teener
post Sep 23 2020, 04:50 PM
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QUOTE(horizontally-opposed @ Sep 23 2020, 03:33 PM) *

So I've spoken with some folks at VW, who have mentioned that the only way the EV gamble pays off is volume—whether other manufacturers buying into their skateboard and infrastructure or something like this, where states or countries change what is allowed.

I am surprised but not surprised by the announcement today. I suspect it will have little if any impact on driving a 914 before 2050 or so (Elon, who is his own piece of work, estimates it will take 15 years after 2035 to replace most of the daily CA fleet with EVs).

As a car nut, I have mixed feelings on this. As a dad, I have very different feelings that go past what I want. CA was vilified for the catalyst, but it made massive improvements in CA air quality and, eventually, the world's air quality. They're saying half of our greenhouse emissions are still cars and trucks. We've got 44,000,000 people here. So that's a lot of emissions.

Would I prefer that other emitters are targeted? Sure. Would I prefer that other states and countries would have gone after some of the low-hanging fruit as early as CA did? Yep. Consider Germany, which didn't require catalysts until well into the 1980s? And then you get into heavy trucks, boats, planes, cows, etc etc.

But we are where we are.

I worry about the grid, but it has to be addressed (as we all know). May as well address it intelligently. Not naive enough to think solar is "the" solution, but we're making the switch next week. It's a parity deal, with the average of our electricity cost per month (at today's rates) going to a solar company for ten years on a system that should supply ~107% of our usage for 35~ years (and it's warranted for much of that period). A no-cost deal, with provision for a few more panels for…an EV one day. We're adding a battery, which is cost out of pocket, but a hedge against going dark again—which doesn't work for our business.

It isn't a solution that works for everyone, but it feels like a good move.

As for EVs? I am not particularly a fan—but I am not particularly a fan of the bland sea of new cars available these days anyway. With so few stick shifts, and so few cars rather than SUVs, is an EV so bad? A couple of days of touring Europe in a Taycan showed me otherwise, and I sure liked skipping the gas station in our TDI before it was recalled (sigh). When I got back from driving the Taycan, most workaday V6s, V8s, I4s, etc just sounded like noise pollution to me.

Sorry for the book, but we'll have access to a lot of cool cars for a long time to come. Our cars included. I view this move as potentially giving us a longer lease on fun driving. Will they actually be able to enact this by 2035? That remains to be seen...



Nice post Pete....

I agree, even Porsche will provide a combustion engine for some time but the change is here and with most manufactures seeing the writing on the wall it will someday happen.

Having been born here in the Sixties....the catalytic coverter and eventually EV's will make our air better for the future. For me....I think with the recent smoke reminded me of what the air here used to be like most of the Summer and the damage it had done.

I remember back then when the cat converters came out the V8 guys were himming and hawing about it, how it woud ruin things ect.

Same stuff different decade....if you live long enough you may see some things twice.

If your lucky or blessed or both.
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Posts in this topic
ndfrigi   Is this really goin to happen?   Sep 23 2020, 02:36 PM
bretth   :stromberg: :jester: :shoot2kill:   Sep 23 2020, 03:26 PM
Racer   Already happening in Europe. I believe no later th...   Sep 23 2020, 03:33 PM
914werke   kNNoJT_ACs0   Sep 23 2020, 03:44 PM
Olympic 914   the Last Chase. Features Porsche racer vs Jet fig...   Sep 23 2020, 04:04 PM
brcacti   The world has been changing FAST lately. So I am ...   Sep 23 2020, 04:11 PM
Superhawk996   :rotfl:   Sep 23 2020, 04:14 PM
horizontally-opposed   So I've spoken with some folks at VW, who have...   Sep 23 2020, 04:33 PM
914_teener   So I've spoken with some folks at VW, who hav...   Sep 23 2020, 04:50 PM
thelogo   Talk about bad /stupid timing w..t..f. Deal with p...   Sep 23 2020, 05:02 PM
Bleyseng   Talk about bad /stupid timing w..t..f. Deal with ...   Sep 26 2020, 11:47 AM
bbrock   Talk about bad /stupid timing w..t..f. Deal with...   Sep 26 2020, 12:26 PM
rhodyguy   I'll prob be dead by then. I don't care an...   Sep 23 2020, 05:14 PM
bkrantz   I'll prob be dead by then. I don't care a...   Sep 23 2020, 08:55 PM
914werke   :toke:   Sep 23 2020, 05:24 PM
914_7T3   From today's news release, "The executi...   Sep 23 2020, 10:00 PM
Robarabian   Not being political... legal analysis only... but...   Sep 23 2020, 10:41 PM
Jim C   Not being political... legal analysis only... bu...   Sep 24 2020, 06:18 AM
914_teener   Not being political... legal analysis only... bu...   Sep 24 2020, 01:13 PM
dhuckabay   Lost this when I did it before. Agree with Rhody,...   Sep 23 2020, 11:04 PM
larryM   :confused: one might guess that Elon & Gavim...   Sep 23 2020, 11:16 PM
dhuckabay   Sorry to add to this. Bought a 1996 993T in SF. ...   Sep 23 2020, 11:19 PM
Maltese Falcon   No worries, our gov is in total control of his fac...   Sep 23 2020, 11:26 PM
bretth   It is always 'we won't make it illegal...   Sep 23 2020, 11:29 PM
Jeff Hail   I was thinking on the lines of Outlaws, lots of Ou...   Sep 24 2020, 12:03 AM
VegasRacer   Hell I got my first ticket the day I got my driv...   Sep 24 2020, 12:31 AM
Superhawk996   I was thinking on the lines of Outlaws, lots of O...   Sep 24 2020, 05:28 AM
sechszylinder   I guess, that besides allowing to sell only ev car...   Sep 24 2020, 12:24 AM
JamesM   Honestly speaking, I‘m quite sure, that cheap ...   Sep 24 2020, 09:04 AM
Racer   As Jay Leno has mentioned several times... ICE car...   Sep 24 2020, 05:49 AM
Coondog   Sorry just don’t see big oil letting this happen...   Sep 24 2020, 05:55 AM
daytona   In my humble opinion, it is unlikely to happen by ...   Sep 24 2020, 06:02 AM
Racer   The grid is not of concern. If there is money to b...   Sep 24 2020, 06:23 AM
Coondog   Sorry but in Calif the grid is the problem. Calif...   Sep 24 2020, 07:03 AM
mepstein   I think cities will be the first to change. First ...   Sep 24 2020, 07:25 AM
horizontally-opposed   Nice to see this conversation veer away from polit...   Sep 24 2020, 07:34 AM
bbrock   Nice to see this conversation veer away from poli...   Sep 24 2020, 08:29 AM
Jim C   Nice to see this conversation veer away from pol...   Sep 24 2020, 08:39 AM
restore2seater   Something else to ponder: companies popping up to ...   Sep 24 2020, 08:06 AM
Racer   As for a cheap EV? you can buy a used Leaf for le...   Sep 24 2020, 08:10 AM
Chris914n6   The Leaf is a throw away car from the get go. Chea...   Sep 24 2020, 11:15 AM
JamesM   An affordable EV made to fit everyone's needs...   Sep 24 2020, 01:19 PM
Chris914n6   Today we have the compact Bolt, Mini, 500e, Prius,...   Sep 24 2020, 04:47 PM
JamesM   You cant really talk about much of a used market t...   Sep 25 2020, 10:29 AM
Chris914n6   I like the ID.4, and it competes with the Tiguan. ...   Sep 25 2020, 04:58 PM
Andyrew   Were phasing out of the ugly past 10 years with E ...   Sep 24 2020, 08:39 AM
dcheek   Forget politics, forget the environment. forget an...   Sep 24 2020, 08:40 AM
Tdskip   Forget politics, forget the environment. forget a...   Sep 26 2020, 12:45 PM
Tom   This is a difficult subject for us who grew up as ...   Sep 24 2020, 09:05 AM
Mark Henry   It's going to happen to new cars sooner or lat...   Sep 24 2020, 09:05 AM
JamesM   It's going to happen to new cars sooner or la...   Sep 24 2020, 01:34 PM
horizontally-opposed   Really curious to know more about the longevity of...   Sep 24 2020, 10:02 AM
bbrock   Really curious to know more about the longevity o...   Sep 24 2020, 01:10 PM
Racer   My point with the Leaf, despite its limits, is tha...   Sep 24 2020, 12:02 PM
mrholland2   Just think about how far EV and other zero or near...   Sep 24 2020, 12:05 PM
RARE 6   Another real elephant in the room, whatever we end...   Sep 24 2020, 01:33 PM
flipb   Didn't California mandate solar roofs on all n...   Sep 24 2020, 01:51 PM
horizontally-opposed   Didn't California mandate solar roofs on all ...   Sep 24 2020, 02:13 PM
slivel   I love technology. In the 15 years until 2035, I...   Sep 24 2020, 02:49 PM
RARE 6   I love technology. In the 15 years until 2035, I...   Sep 24 2020, 03:52 PM
dcheek   I want to clarify my position on EV's (like an...   Sep 24 2020, 03:15 PM
thelogo   [quote name='dcheek' date='Sep 24 2020...   Sep 24 2020, 04:42 PM
Nojoah   I've seen lots of comments from people in CA a...   Sep 24 2020, 03:19 PM
jd74914   I've seen lots of comments from people in CA ...   Sep 24 2020, 03:30 PM
horizontally-opposed   I've seen lots of comments from people in CA ...   Sep 24 2020, 04:04 PM
Nojoah   If society gets it right, the ones who live in p...   Sep 24 2020, 04:26 PM
mobymutt   I bought a Soul EV about 5 years ago. From a comm...   Sep 24 2020, 04:29 PM
mepstein   We've always had laws that set the boundaries....   Sep 24 2020, 05:45 PM
76-914   I finally read this post today and I can't hel...   Sep 24 2020, 06:05 PM
bbrock   I live in one of those cold, rural places and I do...   Sep 24 2020, 07:37 PM
andrewb   Morning gents - thought I'd chip in with a vie...   Sep 25 2020, 04:37 AM
Superhawk996   I've tried to stay away from specifics becau...   Sep 25 2020, 06:01 AM
horizontally-opposed   [quote name='andrewb' post='2854148' date='Sep 25...   Sep 25 2020, 10:13 AM
914_teener   Morning gents - thought I'd chip in with a vi...   Sep 25 2020, 02:22 PM
VaccaRabite   You don't have to go 15 years back. Commercia...   Sep 25 2020, 08:44 AM
Tdskip   I generally stay out of discussions like this beca...   Sep 25 2020, 08:55 AM
bdstone914   I would like to see electric postal vehicles. See...   Sep 25 2020, 09:04 AM
Superhawk996   I would like to see electric postal vehicles. Se...   Sep 25 2020, 09:16 AM
horizontally-opposed   I would like to see electric postal vehicles. Se...   Sep 25 2020, 10:22 AM
Racer   fwiw, I imagine the youth will be highly receptive...   Sep 25 2020, 09:26 AM
flipb   I recently realized that the reason I love driving...   Sep 25 2020, 10:39 AM
Root_Werks   Was big into electric cars a number of years back....   Sep 25 2020, 10:50 AM
VaccaRabite   Was big into electric cars a number of years back...   Sep 25 2020, 11:29 AM
Racer   I've come to like this guy - Engineering Expl...   Sep 25 2020, 11:18 AM
rhodyguy   The future money will be in H2O. Not crude.   Sep 25 2020, 11:22 AM
bbrock   I don't think the middle of the country will b...   Sep 25 2020, 01:39 PM
AZBanks   I am waiting to see what shakes out for long term ...   Sep 25 2020, 03:17 PM
914_teener   I am waiting to see what shakes out for long term...   Sep 25 2020, 03:24 PM
914werke   Not to further muddy the waters but keep in mind ...   Sep 25 2020, 04:26 PM
horizontally-opposed   I was wondering when someone was going to commen...   Sep 25 2020, 05:57 PM
914_teener   I was wondering when someone was going to comme...   Sep 25 2020, 06:14 PM
Superhawk996   It's hard to know what one loses when one li...   Sep 26 2020, 07:24 AM
bbrock   Not to further muddy the waters but keep in mind...   Sep 25 2020, 08:04 PM
914werke   I'm not sure why we would single out EV as a ...   Sep 25 2020, 08:20 PM
rhodyguy   The power grid will NEVER support a massive switch...   Sep 26 2020, 01:13 PM
Tdskip   Time to end the tax credits for EVs, have REAL ma...   Sep 26 2020, 02:14 PM
Rav914   The power grid will NEVER support a massive switc...   Sep 26 2020, 01:26 PM
Rav914   Electric '68 911. Good business opportunity. ...   Sep 26 2020, 01:39 PM
horizontally-opposed   The move to EVs may actually end up helping the gr...   Sep 26 2020, 02:16 PM
rhodyguy   20" box fans fitted with 20x20 MERV13 electro...   Sep 26 2020, 02:29 PM
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