Geeesh.....to be in HS 10 years ago!!!!
For us older Farts who've seen a few cycles, "...what goes up, must come down....[eventually]" & visa versa!
.....etc., etc......
Unfortunately economies don't grow at a steady & measured even pace - but instead goes through wild gyrations up & down over time, but they do tend to grow over time on the whole.
IMHO - Some factors speak in favor of the
long term trend on values/prices returning to the recent levels
eventually for collecting cars in particular, are that:
1. Some of us drooled
over the 60's Camaros, 70's Porsches, etc. way back then when they were new, & are willing to spend some time & dough in our later P.K. years (post-kids), & our free time in retirement years, to get those youthful dream "toys" for ourselves.
2. There is a huge cash bubble wrapped up in the Baby Boomers' savings, retirement & earnings as a whole - even if it has dropped in value currently (e.g.: our accounts & home values are off to 60% & 75% respectively). These values have bottomed out in real estate/homes to some extent, & started to recover in stocks now - but we're not out of the woods yet! They too will eventually recover in advance of other "less solid" investments, such as collectibles.
3. BTW - part of the reason that stocks, homes, REITs, 914s, etc. ran up so high, si because too much Baby Boomer money was chasing too little good investments, driving up prices beyond common sense, & adding to the "Boomer money bubble" pressures with the earnings/equity growth!
4. Cars as we know them - internal combustion - will start to phase out over time towards hybrids, flex-fuel/bio-fuel, EV, public transit, etc. over the coming decades - so the "
nice old cars" will become ever more rare collector items & museum pieces. How many steam locomotives do you see today??.....a few in special "tour trains" & 3rd world countries. The same will eventually happen to 914s etc. over time. So I'm restoring my early 73 2L, & may get a roller in the future to do an 914-EV DD!?
5. IMHO - because the 914s were so maligned by the "real Porsche-types" & treated as "The Disposable Porsche" - so a ton of them have gone into the crusher & bone-yards.
6. Then the notorious rust problems doomed a bunch more, which was worse than comparable 356 & 911/912 of the era because of the polyurethane foam which they injected into the body panel gaps for insulation/etc., but it instead held the water at the sheet metal to conveniently speed-up the rust. Porsche did rust studies early on & knew about it, but didn't change the process (I think it's at Jeff Bowlsby's 914 info website)!
7. Ergo -even though there were +/- 117k 914s built vs. only 100k 356s built, there are probably fewer 914s in good condition or restorable, than 356s - notwithstanding that the latter are a decade or more older! So 914s are & will be rarer than the 356s & 911s - perhaps only challenged by 912s for rarity in that `50s-`70s sports car golden era.
BTW - those 60's Muscle Cars went up so much because they were very limited production off-shoots of main-line models, so the same holds for 914s & other collectibles, the rarer the more they're worth in any economy & the faster they'll appreciate. ....I just wish I could've afforded a 914-6 back in the day!
IMHO - not to worry, over time the values will return as the economy does so, then you can go slap-happy with high values on your beloved 914!
....but it's still best to use some restraint in your resto or customization projects!