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Skydance |
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#1
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Newbie ![]() Group: Members Posts: 30 Joined: 13-October 14 From: wisconsin Member No.: 18,015 Region Association: None ![]() |
Autonomous vehicles will render our old cars useless, and therefore worthless.
I don't think so. Horse people talked about these same concerns ever since horses stopped being beasts of burden. Today, the recreational use of horses has increased the horse population to it's highest number in the past fifty years. Considering the cost of ownership, shrinking countryside, escalating environmental restriction, and many other issues we still have a high and healthy horse population. Autonomous vehicles will hit us fast, an avalanche of them is on the way. Level four driverless cars will be taking the kids to school, circling back to take me to work, and then picking up the dog at the groomer. Driverless cars make good sense, and for many reasons. We all get the concept. After all the safe shuttling is done, I think a lot of properly wired guys and girls will feel like taking a good old car for a real drive. I don't think we'll see people lose desire for driving, in fact I think the opposite is likely. Check the oil, enjoy your ride, your living in the days of the wild old west! |
stugray |
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#2
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Advanced Member ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Group: Members Posts: 3,825 Joined: 17-September 09 From: Longmont, CO Member No.: 10,819 Region Association: None ![]() |
Autonomous vehicles will render our old cars useless, and therefore worthless. I don't think so. Horse people talked about these same concerns ever since horses stopped being beasts of burden. Today, the recreational use of horses has increased the horse population to it's highest number in the past fifty years. Considering the cost of ownership, shrinking countryside, escalating environmental restriction, and many other issues we still have a high and healthy horse population. Autonomous vehicles will hit us fast, an avalanche of them is on the way. Level four driverless cars will be taking the kids to school, circling back to take me to work, and then picking up the dog at the groomer. Driverless cars make good sense, and for many reasons. We all get the concept. After all the safe shuttling is done, I think a lot of properly wired guys and girls will feel like taking a good old car for a real drive. I don't think we'll see people lose desire for driving, in fact I think the opposite is likely. Check the oil, enjoy your ride, your living in the days of the wild old west! I recently said that if someone could buy an entire vintage race group, and owned a track, the demand for weekend warriors to rent a race car will begin to increase in the near future. |
Mike Bellis |
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#3
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Resident Electrician ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Group: Members Posts: 8,347 Joined: 22-June 09 From: Midlothian TX Member No.: 10,496 Region Association: None ![]() ![]() ![]() |
In 10-20 years there will be a mass reduction in fossil fuel availability. It will be very expensive to drive a 914 if you can find gas. (IMG:style_emoticons/default/sad.gif)
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Elliot Cannon |
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#4
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914 Guru ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Group: Retired Members Posts: 8,487 Joined: 29-December 06 From: Paso Robles Ca. (Central coast) Member No.: 7,407 Region Association: None ![]() ![]() ![]() |
In 10-20 years there will be a mass reduction in fossil fuel availability. It will be very expensive to drive a 914 if you can find gas. (IMG:style_emoticons/default/sad.gif) 10 - 20 years? Where did that info. come from? (IMG:style_emoticons/default/biggrin.gif) |
stevegm |
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#5
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Advanced Member ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Group: Members Posts: 2,111 Joined: 14-July 14 From: North Carolina Member No.: 17,633 Region Association: South East States ![]() ![]() |
As John Forbes said to me yesterday - They will have to pry my 914 from my cold, dead heads.
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EdwardBlume |
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#6
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914 Wizard ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Group: Members Posts: 12,338 Joined: 2-January 03 From: SLO Member No.: 81 Region Association: Central California ![]() ![]() |
I agree with Mike. It's inevitable that we will become less dependent on oil. Dads car will someday be electric or natural gas...
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EdwardBlume |
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#7
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914 Wizard ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Group: Members Posts: 12,338 Joined: 2-January 03 From: SLO Member No.: 81 Region Association: Central California ![]() ![]() |
As John Forbes said to me yesterday - They will have to pry my 914 from my cold, dead heads. Since it's a /6, I'm willing to oblige... (IMG:style_emoticons/default/idea.gif) |
Mike Bellis |
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#8
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Resident Electrician ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Group: Members Posts: 8,347 Joined: 22-June 09 From: Midlothian TX Member No.: 10,496 Region Association: None ![]() ![]() ![]() |
The Feds just signed some BS to reduce fossil fuel consumption by 2020. We are going to have to run our 914's with seaweed...
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Andyrew |
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#9
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Spooling.... Please wait ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Group: Members Posts: 13,380 Joined: 20-January 03 From: Riverbank, Ca Member No.: 172 Region Association: Northern California ![]() ![]() |
E85 will be the temporary answer for another 5-10 years, BUT in the long run electricity will probably prevail.
I would LOVE it if they made E85 available at every gas station... But thats the selfish HP greedy person I am... |
jmill |
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#10
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Green Hornet ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Group: Members Posts: 2,449 Joined: 9-May 08 From: Racine, Wisconsin Member No.: 9,038 Region Association: Upper MidWest ![]() |
Wonder why produce prices have gone through the roof? Land by me is used to grow corn for ethanol rather than for food. Landowners have raised their lease prices (because ethanol makes money) to a point where farmers either grow corn for ethanol or jack up the price of vegetables to afford the inflated land lease prices.
When food competes with fuel we got big problems. You're paying at the pump and at the checkout line. |
damesandhotrods |
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#11
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Senior Member ![]() ![]() ![]() Group: Members Posts: 568 Joined: 26-September 10 From: Santa Cruz California Member No.: 12,218 Region Association: Northern California ![]() |
So what happens if the insurance companies decide that they don’t want to pay out for driver car accidents anymore and only insure driverless cars?
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bandjoey |
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#12
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bandjoey ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Group: Members Posts: 4,934 Joined: 26-September 07 From: Bedford Tx Member No.: 8,156 Region Association: Southwest Region ![]() |
In 10-20 years there will be a mass reduction in fossil fuel availability. It will be very expensive to drive a 914 if you can find gas. (IMG:style_emoticons/default/sad.gif) Yes Virginia, it looks like gas is here to stay for a while. (or we'll make it in backyard stills to keep classics running) Autoblog.com Dec 23 Sebastian Blanco Once again, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) it polishing its crystal ball and sees nothing but good things as the world continues to burn its product for many decades to come. In fact, in the 2015 World Oil Outlook (WOO), OPEC thinks its future will shine so bright that the new report says, "By 2040, only 6% of the passenger car stock and 5.3% of commercial vehicles will be running on non-oil fuels." That's a truly depressing figure to anyone who's been watching the proliferation of plug-in and rooting for alt-fuel vehicles. (Not that everyone agrees with OPEC) |
wes |
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#13
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wes ![]() ![]() ![]() Group: Members Posts: 1,591 Joined: 8-December 07 From: Ukiah Ca Member No.: 8,436 Region Association: Northern California ![]() ![]() |
I agree with Steve and I'm digging a big hole in my backyard for my secret fuel cell, please don't take my steering wheel away.
Let's see I'm 69 and my knees are bad I can't remember why I went to the bathroom, wonder how many years before my car is just a collectors item. |
914Sixer |
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#14
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914 Guru ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Group: Members Posts: 9,188 Joined: 17-January 05 From: San Angelo Texas Member No.: 3,457 Region Association: Southwest Region ![]() ![]() |
Gee, they told us we were going run out of fossil fuel BEFORE 1980's. Duh !!
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rick 918-S |
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#15
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Hey nice rack! -Celette ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Group: Members Posts: 21,011 Joined: 30-December 02 From: Now in Superior WI Member No.: 43 Region Association: Northstar Region ![]() ![]() ![]() |
There will always be fuel. The government can mandate what ever they want. But when you step in front of a fuel truck your going to get run over. There is only so much you can legislate before the people wise up. Can you imagine the lower middle class having to choose between a tesla or life beyond the reach of their bicycle. Trapped in life by the good intensions of some out of touch social engineer? Can't happen.
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76-914 |
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#16
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Repeat Offender & Resident Subaru Antagonist ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Group: Members Posts: 13,737 Joined: 23-January 09 From: Temecula, CA Member No.: 9,964 Region Association: Southern California ![]() ![]() |
The middle class will be gone long before oil. (IMG:style_emoticons/default/sad.gif)
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Big Len |
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#17
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Senior Member ![]() ![]() ![]() Group: Members Posts: 1,770 Joined: 16-July 13 From: Edgewood, New Mexico Member No.: 16,126 Region Association: Southwest Region ![]() |
There will always be fuel. The government can mandate what ever they want. But when you step in front of a fuel truck your going to get run over. There is only so much you can legislate before the people wise up. Can you imagine the lower middle class having to choose between a tesla or life beyond the reach of their bicycle. Trapped in life by the good intensions of some out of touch social engineer? Can't happen. Agree with Rick. Also, do you believe that tractor trailers, railroad freight trains, airliners, and ships will be EVs in 20 years? If refineries are making diesel and jet fuel, they'll be making gasoline too. |
aircooledtechguy |
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#18
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The Aircooledtech Guy ![]() ![]() ![]() Group: Members Posts: 1,966 Joined: 8-November 08 From: Anacortes, WA Member No.: 9,730 Region Association: Pacific Northwest ![]() |
So what happens if the insurance companies decide that they don’t want to pay out for driver car accidents anymore and only insure driverless cars? Please tell me that you don't really believe that insurance companies pay anything out of their own pockets when you file a claim. . . Just WHO do you think they get that money from to begin with?? That's right, YOU (and everyone else). They will simply do what those bastards always do and raise their rates. |
JoeDees |
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#19
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Senior Member ![]() ![]() ![]() Group: Members Posts: 515 Joined: 10-November 14 From: Northern Kentucky Member No.: 18,106 Region Association: None ![]() |
I don't think "running out of oil" is the issue within the next 50 years, but the question arises of "what is its pricepoint?" Will we still see it as viable if gas hits $10 a gallon? What about $15? $20? There's a book I read in college by Christopher Steiner called "$20 per Gallon: How the Inevitable Rise in the Price of Gasoline Will Change our Lives for the Better." It's absurdly utopian in many ways, but thought provoking as to how change will be forced upon us.
I think we'll replace oil (not completely) out of a shortage and price hike, it'll still be in the ground and stuff, but geopolitical issues will halt its mass importation and our desires to buy it from certain sellers. That said, old cars will still be fun and able to drive, just more expensive. I doubt it would even hurt values all that much; afterall, who buys a classic for affordable driving? Maybe EV swaps will become more popular and DDs will adapt, but the classics will still be driving. |
JoeDees |
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#20
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Senior Member ![]() ![]() ![]() Group: Members Posts: 515 Joined: 10-November 14 From: Northern Kentucky Member No.: 18,106 Region Association: None ![]() |
It really is in our Nation Interest (security) to wean our dependence on foreign fossil fuels.
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